Philadelphia Eagles vs New Orleans Saints

Eagles vs. Saints odds, line: 2019 NFL divisional round picks, playoff predictions from proven computer model on 16-6 run

After an impressive season that resulted in home-field advantage throughout the NFL Playoffs, the New Orleans Saints will begin their postseason on Sunday in the Divisional Round. Drew Brees and company should be fresh, too, after many starters rested in Week 17 and then had a first-round bye. They’ll need to shake off the rust quickly, however, because they’ll be taking on one of the hottest teams in the NFL, the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. These two teams met back in Week 11, with the hosting Saints winning 48-7. But that loss was a wakeup call for the Eagles, who are peaking at the right time. New Orleans is an eight-point favorite this time around, with the total at 51.5 in the latest Eagles vs. Saints odds. Before you make any Eagles vs. Saints picks and NFL Playoff predictions, check out what SportsLine’s Projection Model has to say.

SportsLine’s proprietary computer model went 176-80 straight up last season and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports Office Pool players in 2016 and ’17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who have followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.

The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018-19, entering the divisional round on a blistering 16-6 run. For the season, it is now 30-15 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 78-49. It also went 170-84 on straight-up NFL picks during the regular season, ranking inside the top 10 on NFLPickWatch.com. Additionally, it hit all four NFL spread picks on Wild Card Weekend. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has crunched the numbers for Eagles vs. Saints (stream live on fuboTV) from every angle. We can tell you it’s leaning over, but it has also generated a strong point-spread selection that hits more than 50 percent of the time. The pick is only available at SportsLine.

For Sunday’s matchup, the model knows that the 2018 season has been all about balance for the Saints offensively. After years where it felt like Brees had to throw the ball 50 times per game for New Orleans to compete, a backfield featuring Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram has given the veteran quarterback room to breathe. The Saints threw the ball 519 times during the regular season and ran it 471 times, making them one of the most balanced teams in the league.

Defenses respecting the run opened up the field and gave Brees plenty of winnable one-on-one matchups. The end result was an NFL record for completion percentage (74.4) and an impressive 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Philadelphia had just the 30th-ranked pass defense this season and Brees diced up the Eagles last time out, throwing for 363 yards and four touchdowns.

But just because New Orleans can run the ball and play defense doesn’t mean it will cover the Eagles vs. Saints spread in the Divisional Round.

With starting quarterback Carson Wentz again sidelined by injury and Nick Foles under center, the Eagles resembled the team that could do no wrong in last season’s playoffs. Foles led a late 60-yard drive against the Bears that resulted in the go-ahead touchdown to Golden Tate on a fourth-and-goal pass. Philadelphia prevailed when Chicago’s Cody Parkey hit the upright and crossbar with a tipped field-goal attempt as time expired.

Philly has been red-hot, winning its past four and covering three times during that span. The Eagles pitched a 24-0 shutout against the divisional-rival Redskins and held the Monsters of the Midway to just 15 points.

Who wins Eagles vs. Saints? And which side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors over the past two seasons.

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles vs. Saints odds, line: 2019 NFL divisional round picks, playoff predictions from proven computer model on 16-6 run

After an impressive season that resulted in home-field advantage throughout the NFL Playoffs, the New Orleans Saints will begin their postseason on Sunday in the Divisional Round. Drew Brees and company should be fresh, too, after many starters rested in Week 17 and then had a first-round bye. They’ll need to shake off the rust quickly, however, because they’ll be taking on one of the hottest teams in the NFL, the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. These two teams met back in Week 11, with the hosting Saints winning 48-7. But that loss was a wakeup call for the Eagles, who are peaking at the right time. New Orleans is an eight-point favorite this time around, with the total at 51.5 in the latest Eagles vs. Saints odds. Before you make any Eagles vs. Saints picks and NFL Playoff predictions, check out what SportsLine’s Projection Model has to say.

SportsLine’s proprietary computer model went 176-80 straight up last season and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports Office Pool players in 2016 and ’17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who have followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.

The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018-19, entering the divisional round on a blistering 16-6 run. For the season, it is now 30-15 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 78-49. It also went 170-84 on straight-up NFL picks during the regular season, ranking inside the top 10 on NFLPickWatch.com. Additionally, it hit all four NFL spread picks on Wild Card Weekend. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has crunched the numbers for Eagles vs. Saints (stream live on fuboTV) from every angle. We can tell you it’s leaning over, but it has also generated a strong point-spread selection that hits more than 50 percent of the time. The pick is only available at SportsLine.

For Sunday’s matchup, the model knows that the 2018 season has been all about balance for the Saints offensively. After years where it felt like Brees had to throw the ball 50 times per game for New Orleans to compete, a backfield featuring Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram has given the veteran quarterback room to breathe. The Saints threw the ball 519 times during the regular season and ran it 471 times, making them one of the most balanced teams in the league.

Defenses respecting the run opened up the field and gave Brees plenty of winnable one-on-one matchups. The end result was an NFL record for completion percentage (74.4) and an impressive 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Philadelphia had just the 30th-ranked pass defense this season and Brees diced up the Eagles last time out, throwing for 363 yards and four touchdowns.

But just because New Orleans can run the ball and play defense doesn’t mean it will cover the Eagles vs. Saints spread in the Divisional Round.

With starting quarterback Carson Wentz again sidelined by injury and Nick Foles under center, the Eagles resembled the team that could do no wrong in last season’s playoffs. Foles led a late 60-yard drive against the Bears that resulted in the go-ahead touchdown to Golden Tate on a fourth-and-goal pass. Philadelphia prevailed when Chicago’s Cody Parkey hit the upright and crossbar with a tipped field-goal attempt as time expired.

Philly has been red-hot, winning its past four and covering three times during that span. The Eagles pitched a 24-0 shutout against the divisional-rival Redskins and held the Monsters of the Midway to just 15 points.

Who wins Eagles vs. Saints? And which side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors over the past two seasons.

Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots

NFL divisional round odds, line: Chargers vs. Patriots picks, predictions from dialed-in expert who’s 20-8

Tom Brady has never lost to the Chargers, but is this L.A.’s time? We’ll find out when the New England Patriots host the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday at 1:05 p.m. ET in the divisional round of the 2019 NFL Playoffs. The Patriots (11-5) are on a quest for a repeat Super Bowl berth, while the perennially contending Chargers (12-4) seek their first Big Game berth since 1994. The Patriots vs. Chargers weather has been a hot topic of discussion this week, but the latest forecast calls for temperatures in the 20s, partly cloudy skies, and light winds. No snow is expected. New England is favored by four points in the latest Chargers vs. Patriots odds, down half-a-point from the opener. The over-under, or total points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 47.5. Before making any Chargers vs. Patriots picks of you own, you’ll want to see what veteran NFL handicapper Micah Roberts is saying about the game.

Roberts has worked in the Las Vegas sportsbook industry for 20 years, including a 13-year run as Station Casinos’ book director. Armed with an unmatched network of sources, Roberts is on a 49-38 run on against-the-spread picks and has been especially adept at picking games involving the Chargers and Patriots, going 15-6 on spread picks involving L.A. and hitting on five of seven involving New England. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he’s dialed in on Sunday’s Patriots vs. Chargers game (stream live on fuboTV). You can only see his NFL picks over at SportsLine.

Roberts knows the Patriots lost two of their final four games, but motivation wasn’t high and they dominated the division-rival Jets, 38-3, in the season-finale. New England has reached seven AFC Championships in a row, and everyone knows Tom Brady and Bill Belichick will have the team ready.

Brady’s 11 interceptions were his most since the 2013 season, but injuries decimated his receiving corps. Julian Edelman played 12 games, wgile stud tight end Rob Gronkowski started only 11. Everyone is now healthy for Sunday. James White and Sony Michel lead a rush attack that averages 127 yards per game, fifth-best in the NFL.

New England’s defense allowed only 20.3 points per game, ranking No. 7 in the league. The ball-hawking unit picked off 18 passes, third-most, and allowed just one rushing touchdown at home all season.

But just because the red-hot Patriots can run the ball and play defense doesn’t mean they’ll cover the Chargers vs. Patriots spread Sunday.

Roberts also knows the Chargers’ offense has been tough to handle. The unit ranked No. 6 in the NFL at 26.8 points per game led by veteran quarterback Philip Rivers, who had one of his best seasons with 4,308 yards and 32 touchdowns.

Rivers and wide receiver Keenan Allen make up one of the league’s top receiving combos. Allen caught 97 passes for 1,196 yards, and the Chargers also added tight end Hunter Henry to the active roster Monday, eight months after an ACL tear.

L.A. ranks in the top 10 against the run and pass and has star bookends in Melvin Ingram (seven sacks) and Joey Bosa (5.5). Rookie free safety Derwin James leads the team in tackles (105) and has 3.5 sacks and three picks, one of just two players to have a 100-3-3 season.

We can tell you Roberts is leaning under, but he has unearthed a major x-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back. He’s only sharing what it is, and who to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Chargers vs. Patriots? And what major x-factor causes one side of the spread to hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Chargers spread to jump on, all from a Vegas legend on a profit-making 20-8 run on picks involving these two teams.

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

NFL divisional round odds, line: Chargers vs. Patriots picks, predictions from dialed-in expert who’s 20-8

Tom Brady has never lost to the Chargers, but is this L.A.’s time? We’ll find out when the New England Patriots host the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday at 1:05 p.m. ET in the divisional round of the 2019 NFL Playoffs. The Patriots (11-5) are on a quest for a repeat Super Bowl berth, while the perennially contending Chargers (12-4) seek their first Big Game berth since 1994. The Patriots vs. Chargers weather has been a hot topic of discussion this week, but the latest forecast calls for temperatures in the 20s, partly cloudy skies, and light winds. No snow is expected. New England is favored by four points in the latest Chargers vs. Patriots odds, down half-a-point from the opener. The over-under, or total points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 47.5. Before making any Chargers vs. Patriots picks of you own, you’ll want to see what veteran NFL handicapper Micah Roberts is saying about the game.

Roberts has worked in the Las Vegas sportsbook industry for 20 years, including a 13-year run as Station Casinos’ book director. Armed with an unmatched network of sources, Roberts is on a 49-38 run on against-the-spread picks and has been especially adept at picking games involving the Chargers and Patriots, going 15-6 on spread picks involving L.A. and hitting on five of seven involving New England. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he’s dialed in on Sunday’s Patriots vs. Chargers game (stream live on fuboTV). You can only see his NFL picks over at SportsLine.

Roberts knows the Patriots lost two of their final four games, but motivation wasn’t high and they dominated the division-rival Jets, 38-3, in the season-finale. New England has reached seven AFC Championships in a row, and everyone knows Tom Brady and Bill Belichick will have the team ready.

Brady’s 11 interceptions were his most since the 2013 season, but injuries decimated his receiving corps. Julian Edelman played 12 games, wgile stud tight end Rob Gronkowski started only 11. Everyone is now healthy for Sunday. James White and Sony Michel lead a rush attack that averages 127 yards per game, fifth-best in the NFL.

New England’s defense allowed only 20.3 points per game, ranking No. 7 in the league. The ball-hawking unit picked off 18 passes, third-most, and allowed just one rushing touchdown at home all season.

But just because the red-hot Patriots can run the ball and play defense doesn’t mean they’ll cover the Chargers vs. Patriots spread Sunday.

Roberts also knows the Chargers’ offense has been tough to handle. The unit ranked No. 6 in the NFL at 26.8 points per game led by veteran quarterback Philip Rivers, who had one of his best seasons with 4,308 yards and 32 touchdowns.

Rivers and wide receiver Keenan Allen make up one of the league’s top receiving combos. Allen caught 97 passes for 1,196 yards, and the Chargers also added tight end Hunter Henry to the active roster Monday, eight months after an ACL tear.

L.A. ranks in the top 10 against the run and pass and has star bookends in Melvin Ingram (seven sacks) and Joey Bosa (5.5). Rookie free safety Derwin James leads the team in tackles (105) and has 3.5 sacks and three picks, one of just two players to have a 100-3-3 season.

We can tell you Roberts is leaning under, but he has unearthed a major x-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back. He’s only sharing what it is, and who to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Chargers vs. Patriots? And what major x-factor causes one side of the spread to hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Chargers spread to jump on, all from a Vegas legend on a profit-making 20-8 run on picks involving these two teams.

Tottenham vs Man Utd

Tottenham vs. Manchester United: Odds, Preview, Live Stream, TV Info

Tottenham Hotspur will present Ole Gunnar Solskjaer with his sternest test as Manchester United caretaker boss when the two meet in the Premier League on Sunday.

United travel to Wembley Stadium enjoying a sequence of five wins in all competitions on Solskjaer’s watch. Spurs are also in form, though, having recently put seven past Tranmere Rovers in the 2019 FA Cup third round.

Tottenham are also in the thick of the title race, trailing leaders Liverpool by just six points. It makes sense the Lilywhites are favourites with oddsmakers to take all three points.

Date: Sunday, January 13

Time: 4:30 p.m. GMT/11:30 a.m. ET

TV Info: Sky Sports PL/NBCSN

Live Stream: Sky Go. NBC Sports App. fubo TV.

Odds

Tottenham: 21-20
United: 13-5
Draw: 13-5

Club history beckons for Solskjaer if his revitalised squad can upset the odds:

A big reason for United’s turnaround since Solskjaer replaced Jose Mourinho has been midfielder Paul Pogba’s form. The mercurial playmaker is showcasing the vision and flair United felt compelled to spend a then-world record fee to acquire back in 2016.

Solskjaer confirmed Pogba “should be OK” to feature after the France international delayed a trip for winter training in Dubai to treat a knee problem, per Samuel Luckhurst of the Manchester Evening News.

Pogba’s presence will be key because he’s been keeping the supply lines open to a formidable forward line. Romelu Lukaku, Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial all represent significant threats to the Spurs defence.

Yet it’s the United back four likely to be under pressure from Tottenham’s prolific duo of Harry Kane and Heung-Min Son. Kane has 14 league goals this term, while Son offers the pace and improvisational skills to overwhelm a Red Devils defence breached 32 times in 21 league matches.

Son and Kane could torment the United defence.BEN STANSALL/Getty Images

Fortunately for Solskjaer, there have been hints of improvement at the back lately. United have kept consecutive clean sheets in all competitions, and Victor Lindelof is beginning to look like the assured centre-back the Red Devils have missed for too long.

Lindelof will be a significant figure while fellow central defender Eric Bailly misses out through suspension thanks to receiving a red card during the 4-1 win over Bournemouth in late December.

Spurs have the firepower up top to overwhelm United early. They also have a psychological edge after winning 3-0 at Old Trafford in August.

Lucas Moura starred in Manchester, but the Brazilian winger is a doubt with a knee injury. Even so, Tottenham should still be dynamic enough in attacking areas to sneak a narrow home win over a United side beginning to play up to its obvious talent level.

Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham vs. Manchester United: Odds, Preview, Live Stream, TV Info

Tottenham Hotspur will present Ole Gunnar Solskjaer with his sternest test as Manchester United caretaker boss when the two meet in the Premier League on Sunday.

United travel to Wembley Stadium enjoying a sequence of five wins in all competitions on Solskjaer’s watch. Spurs are also in form, though, having recently put seven past Tranmere Rovers in the 2019 FA Cup third round.

Tottenham are also in the thick of the title race, trailing leaders Liverpool by just six points. It makes sense the Lilywhites are favourites with oddsmakers to take all three points.

Date: Sunday, January 13

Time: 4:30 p.m. GMT/11:30 a.m. ET

TV Info: Sky Sports PL/NBCSN

Live Stream: Sky Go. NBC Sports App. fubo TV.

Odds

Tottenham: 21-20
United: 13-5
Draw: 13-5

Club history beckons for Solskjaer if his revitalised squad can upset the odds:

A big reason for United’s turnaround since Solskjaer replaced Jose Mourinho has been midfielder Paul Pogba’s form. The mercurial playmaker is showcasing the vision and flair United felt compelled to spend a then-world record fee to acquire back in 2016.

Solskjaer confirmed Pogba “should be OK” to feature after the France international delayed a trip for winter training in Dubai to treat a knee problem, per Samuel Luckhurst of the Manchester Evening News.

Pogba’s presence will be key because he’s been keeping the supply lines open to a formidable forward line. Romelu Lukaku, Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial all represent significant threats to the Spurs defence.

Yet it’s the United back four likely to be under pressure from Tottenham’s prolific duo of Harry Kane and Heung-Min Son. Kane has 14 league goals this term, while Son offers the pace and improvisational skills to overwhelm a Red Devils defence breached 32 times in 21 league matches.

Son and Kane could torment the United defence.BEN STANSALL/Getty Images

Fortunately for Solskjaer, there have been hints of improvement at the back lately. United have kept consecutive clean sheets in all competitions, and Victor Lindelof is beginning to look like the assured centre-back the Red Devils have missed for too long.

Lindelof will be a significant figure while fellow central defender Eric Bailly misses out through suspension thanks to receiving a red card during the 4-1 win over Bournemouth in late December.

Spurs have the firepower up top to overwhelm United early. They also have a psychological edge after winning 3-0 at Old Trafford in August.

Lucas Moura starred in Manchester, but the Brazilian winger is a doubt with a knee injury. Even so, Tottenham should still be dynamic enough in attacking areas to sneak a narrow home win over a United side beginning to play up to its obvious talent level.

Eagles vs Saints

Eagles vs. Saints odds, line: 2019 NFL divisional round picks, playoff predictions from proven computer model on 16-6 run

After an impressive season that resulted in home-field advantage throughout the NFL Playoffs, the New Orleans Saints will begin their postseason on Sunday in the Divisional Round. Drew Brees and company should be fresh, too, after many starters rested in Week 17 and then had a first-round bye. They’ll need to shake off the rust quickly, however, because they’ll be taking on one of the hottest teams in the NFL, the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. These two teams met back in Week 11, with the hosting Saints winning 48-7. But that loss was a wakeup call for the Eagles, who are peaking at the right time. New Orleans is an eight-point favorite this time around, with the total at 51.5 in the latest Eagles vs. Saints odds. Before you make any Eagles vs. Saints picks and NFL Playoff predictions, check out what SportsLine’s Projection Model has to say.

SportsLine’s proprietary computer model went 176-80 straight up last season and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports Office Pool players in 2016 and ’17. It also performed better than 98 percent of experts tracked by NFLPickWatch.com during that span. Additionally, it went 48-34 on A-rated picks against the spread last season, and $100 bettors who have followed it the past two seasons are up nearly $4,000.

The model has continued to nail its top-rated picks in 2018-19, entering the divisional round on a blistering 16-6 run. For the season, it is now 30-15 on all top-rated picks, extending its two-year run to a strong 78-49. It also went 170-84 on straight-up NFL picks during the regular season, ranking inside the top 10 on NFLPickWatch.com. Additionally, it hit all four NFL spread picks on Wild Card Weekend. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has crunched the numbers for Eagles vs. Saints (stream live on fuboTV) from every angle. We can tell you it’s leaning over, but it has also generated a strong point-spread selection that hits more than 50 percent of the time. The pick is only available at SportsLine.

For Sunday’s matchup, the model knows that the 2018 season has been all about balance for the Saints offensively. After years where it felt like Brees had to throw the ball 50 times per game for New Orleans to compete, a backfield featuring Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram has given the veteran quarterback room to breathe. The Saints threw the ball 519 times during the regular season and ran it 471 times, making them one of the most balanced teams in the league.

Defenses respecting the run opened up the field and gave Brees plenty of winnable one-on-one matchups. The end result was an NFL record for completion percentage (74.4) and an impressive 8.2 yards per pass attempt. Philadelphia had just the 30th-ranked pass defense this season and Brees diced up the Eagles last time out, throwing for 363 yards and four touchdowns.

But just because New Orleans can run the ball and play defense doesn’t mean it will cover the Eagles vs. Saints spread in the Divisional Round.

With starting quarterback Carson Wentz again sidelined by injury and Nick Foles under center, the Eagles resembled the team that could do no wrong in last season’s playoffs. Foles led a late 60-yard drive against the Bears that resulted in the go-ahead touchdown to Golden Tate on a fourth-and-goal pass. Philadelphia prevailed when Chicago’s Cody Parkey hit the upright and crossbar with a tipped field-goal attempt as time expired.

Philly has been red-hot, winning its past four and covering three times during that span. The Eagles pitched a 24-0 shutout against the divisional-rival Redskins and held the Monsters of the Midway to just 15 points.

Who wins Eagles vs. Saints? And which side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the computer model that has returned nearly $4,000 to $100 bettors over the past two seasons.

Saints vs Eagles

Saints vs. Eagles: Game time, how to watch and follow live, predictions, storylines, more

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New Orleans Saints coach Sean Payton dismisses the premise that the Philadelphia Eagles could derive extra motivation from the widespread perception that New Orleans ran up the score on them when they met in November.

“My question would be: We’re all playing hard in these divisional playoff games, right?” Payton began, referring to Sunday’s rematch in the divisional round of the NFC playoffs. “Are you going to play harder” because of a perceived slight?

Still, Payton expects a more competitive affair than the Saints’ 48-7 blowout of the Eagles on Nov. 18, which gave Philadelphia the dubious distinction of becoming the first reigning Super Bowl champion to lose by that wide a margin in the following regular season.

So here we are. Eagles-Saints, Round Deux.

Here’s all the info you need to know before Sunday’s divisional round affair at Mercedes-Benz Superdome.


THE GAME

— Who: Philadelphia Eagles (10-7) vs. New Orleans Saints (13-3)

— When: 3:40 p.m.

— Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome, New Orleans, Louisiana


HOW TO WATCH

— WVUE-TV (FOX 8) in New Orleans

— WGMB-TV (FOX 44) in Baton Rouge

— Click here to more TV affiliates.

STREAMING

— Via NFL Game Pass (click here to learn more.)

RADIO

— WWL 870 AM/105.3 FM (New Orleans)

— WDGL 98.1 FM (Baton Rouge)

— KMDL 97.3 FM (Lafayette)

— Click here for more radio affiliates.

When the Saints pass | Advantage: Saints

The Eagles are playing better, but they’ve still faced issues in the secondary all season long.

When the Saints run | Advantage: Saints

The Saints didn’t have many issues running against the Eagles in the first meeting, and that shouldn’t change this time around.

When the Eagles pass | Advantage: Saints

Nick Foles has done a good job, but New Orleans had no issue against Carson Wentz in the first meeting.

When the Eagles run | Advantage: Saints

Philadelphia had one of the worst rushing offenses in the NFL this season. The Saints had one of the best run defenses in the NFL.

Special teams | Advantage: Saints

New Orleans has some of the best special teams units in the NFL. Those units should show up on Sunday.

Patriots vs Chargers

NFL divisional round odds, line: Chargers vs. Patriots picks, predictions from dialed-in expert who’s 20-8

Tom Brady has never lost to the Chargers, but is this L.A.’s time? We’ll find out when the New England Patriots host the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday at 1:05 p.m. ET in the divisional round of the 2019 NFL Playoffs. The Patriots (11-5) are on a quest for a repeat Super Bowl berth, while the perennially contending Chargers (12-4) seek their first Big Game berth since 1994. The Patriots vs. Chargers weather has been a hot topic of discussion this week, but the latest forecast calls for temperatures in the 20s, partly cloudy skies, and light winds. No snow is expected. New England is favored by four points in the latest Chargers vs. Patriots odds, down half-a-point from the opener. The over-under, or total points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 47.5. Before making any Chargers vs. Patriots picks of you own, you’ll want to see what veteran NFL handicapper Micah Roberts is saying about the game.

Roberts has worked in the Las Vegas sportsbook industry for 20 years, including a 13-year run as Station Casinos’ book director. Armed with an unmatched network of sources, Roberts is on a 49-38 run on against-the-spread picks and has been especially adept at picking games involving the Chargers and Patriots, going 15-6 on spread picks involving L.A. and hitting on five of seven involving New England. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, he’s dialed in on Sunday’s Patriots vs. Chargers game (stream live on fuboTV). You can only see his NFL picks over at SportsLine.

Roberts knows the Patriots lost two of their final four games, but motivation wasn’t high and they dominated the division-rival Jets, 38-3, in the season-finale. New England has reached seven AFC Championships in a row, and everyone knows Tom Brady and Bill Belichick will have the team ready.

Brady’s 11 interceptions were his most since the 2013 season, but injuries decimated his receiving corps. Julian Edelman played 12 games, wgile stud tight end Rob Gronkowski started only 11. Everyone is now healthy for Sunday. James White and Sony Michel lead a rush attack that averages 127 yards per game, fifth-best in the NFL.

New England’s defense allowed only 20.3 points per game, ranking No. 7 in the league. The ball-hawking unit picked off 18 passes, third-most, and allowed just one rushing touchdown at home all season.

But just because the red-hot Patriots can run the ball and play defense doesn’t mean they’ll cover the Chargers vs. Patriots spread Sunday.

Roberts also knows the Chargers’ offense has been tough to handle. The unit ranked No. 6 in the NFL at 26.8 points per game led by veteran quarterback Philip Rivers, who had one of his best seasons with 4,308 yards and 32 touchdowns.

Rivers and wide receiver Keenan Allen make up one of the league’s top receiving combos. Allen caught 97 passes for 1,196 yards, and the Chargers also added tight end Hunter Henry to the active roster Monday, eight months after an ACL tear.

L.A. ranks in the top 10 against the run and pass and has star bookends in Melvin Ingram (seven sacks) and Joey Bosa (5.5). Rookie free safety Derwin James leads the team in tackles (105) and has 3.5 sacks and three picks, one of just two players to have a 100-3-3 season.

We can tell you Roberts is leaning under, but he has unearthed a major x-factor that makes one side of the spread a must-back. He’s only sharing what it is, and who to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Chargers vs. Patriots? And what major x-factor causes one side of the spread to hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Chargers spread to jump on, all from a Vegas legend on a profit-making 20-8 run on picks involving these two teams.

Chargers vs Patriots

Chargers vs. Patriots: Odds, Stat Predictions for 2019 AFC Divisional Game

Two of the NFL’s premier quarterbacks will face off for the eighth time in their storied careers in New England on Sunday afternoon. Unfortunately for Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers, he has lost all seven of the Chargers and Patriots’ previous matchups in the Tom Brady-Rivers era.

Brady and Rivers’ combined 78 years and 199 days in age makes them the oldest opposing quarterbacks to play since the 1970 merger, according to the NFL.

The last time the Chargers and Patriots met in the postseason was the in the AFC Conference Championship during the 2007 playoffs. That game was also at New England.

In 2018, the Patriots are undefeated in Foxborough. However, the Chargers are 8-1 away from Los Angeles this season—including last week’s wild-card win at Baltimore—rendering it basically a wash. That said, the Chargers are flying across the country for the second time in a week.

The Patriots haven’t been knocked out in the divisional round since the 2010 playoffs—making it to seven consecutive AFC Championship games.

Below is a glance at updated odds heading into Chargers-Patriots and statistical predictions for key players. The divisional-round game will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots (-4) | O/U 48

It must be said: Brady’s 41 years of age showed in 2018, but even with that said, the future Hall of Famer still threw for 4,355 yards and 29 touchdowns. As far as predicting how Brady may play against the Chargers, it depends on which regular-season games you choose to use as samples.

In Week 17, Brady torched the New York Jets for four touchdowns but only 250 yards on 72.7-percent passing. Just the week prior, he struggled to the tune of 126 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions on just 54.2-percent passing.

SBNation’s Christian D’Andrea summed it up well:

“While young players like Patrick Mahomes and Baker Mayfield were making major leaps forward and veterans like Drew Brees and Philip Rivers were establishing career highs, Brady reverted back to his career averages — which, to be fair, are:

a) extremely good, and
b) unheard of for a 41-year-old quarterback.”

The Chargers defense sacked Lamar Jackson seven times in the AFC Wild Card round, and Melvin Ingram was a game-wrecker. Brady noted, again via the Chargers’ official website, that the Chargers pass defense was “just unbelievable” against Baltimore.

Playoff Brady is a different animal, though.

With 77 postseason touchdowns already to his name, Brady will add to that total on Sunday. It’s just a matter of how many touchdowns he will throw.

Prediction: Brady continues 2018 trend but still posts 275 yards and two touchdowns with one interception

Philip Rivers

Who better to assess Rivers than Brady? According to the Chargers’ official website, Brady had this to say:

“He’s kind of like me. He wants the ball out of his hands. He kind of wants to be able to anticipate coverages. He’s got really a great group of skill players—backs, tight ends, receivers. They’re playing as well as any offense that’s played all season.”

One weapon Rivers is expected to have at his disposal for the first time this season is tight end Hunter Henry, who is officially listed as questionable but coyly addressed his status to The Los Angeles Times. Rivers would welcome Henry as another option, but he did just fine in the regular season with the players he had. More than fine.

As Andy Benoit put it for Sports Illustrated a month ago:

“Coaches rave over Rivers’s style because, unconventional as it appears, it leads to plays being executed exactly as they’re drawn up. Rivers’s pocket mobility and toughness are perfect. His control of the pre-snap chess phase is masterful. Rivers understands every nuance of every play’s design, which is partly why he’s become football’s best anticipation thrower.

The Pats defense ranked 22nd against the pass in the regular season.

Prediction: Rivers has a career-defining game with 350 yards and three touchdowns through the air, while taking care of the ball with no interceptions

Rob Gronkowski

Is he fully healthy or not? That is by far the most prominent question surrounding the 29-year-old tight end these days, even though he only missed three games throughout the regular season. Gronkowski only caught three touchdown passes and averaged 52.5 yards per game.

Gronkowski knows, though, according to ESPN’s Jordan Raanan, there is “no room for excuses.” Raanan also provides a key statistic regarding who Gronkowski could be matched up against:

“Chargers rookie safety Derwin James has allowed tight ends to catch just 42 percent of their targets when he’s the nearest defender, the lowest catch percentage allowed to tight ends, according to NFL Next Gen Stats.”

This could go either way: a chronically hobbled Gronk hardly makes an impact or he goes off in a way we haven’t seen all season.

Prediction: the former; Gronkowski is kept relatively mute at three catches for 40 yards and no touchdowns

Keenan Allen

Allen posted his first 1,000-yard season since his rookie season in 2013 with 1,196 receiving yards on 97 catches in the regular season.

Against the Ravens on Wild Card Weekend, Allen was kept modest with four catches for just 37 yards and no touchdowns. In fact, Allen has been kept out of the end zone dating back to Dec. 9 in a win over the Cincinnati Bengals.

Regardless, Allen poses a threat that defenses must account for, which has often left fellow wide receiver Mike Williams wide-open in the end zone. The Patriots will keep track of the 26-year-old, as head coach Belichick stated that “Keenan’s as good a receiver as there is in the National Football League.”

Expect to see the Patriots line up cornerback Stephon Gilmore man-on-man across Allen.

Prediction: Allen sets up the Williams as he has all season with four catches for 60 yards but no touchdowns

James White 

White has been crucial to the Patriots offense this season with 1,176 combined yards and 12 combined touchdowns on the ground and through the air.

It’s that dual-threat ability that helped the Patriots mount the largest Super Bowl comeback in history. In Super Bowl LI, White accounted for two rushing touchdowns but what really stood out were his 14 catches for 110 yards and another touchdown.

The 26-year-old back makes his name in the postseason—as Bleacher Report’s Tyler Dunne perfectly described White as “the perfect Patriots playoff weapon.”

Prediction: White contributes 50 yards on the ground but does real damage as a receiver for 100 yards and two touchdowns on 14 catches

Melvin Gordon

Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images

In the opposing backfield is Gordon, who said to the Chargers’ official website of his relationship with former Wisconsin Badgers teammate White: “That’s like my big brother, man.”

On Sunday, Gordon will try to steal White’s spotlight as the game-changing back.

The 25-year-old has been nurturing nagging injuries throughout the regular season, which caused him to miss Week 7 due to his hamstring and three games in December because of his knee.

This bled into Wild Card Weekend when Gordon was diagnosed with a “little knee sprain,” according to NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport.

Against the Ravens, Gordon punched in one touchdown but was contained to 40 yards on 17 carriers. Even missing four games in the regular season, Gordon posted 885 rushing yards and 10 rushing touchdowns. He also notched three 100-yard rushing games.

The Patriots finished the regular season ranked 11th in rushing defense. Without Gordon in the fold, the Chargers have utilized Austin Ekeler and Justin Jackson; but it is a different game when Gordon is in and healthy (enough).

There is just no way of truly knowing what percentage we’re getting from Gordon’s body.

Prediction: Pats underestimate Gordon; Gordon goes for 105 combined yards and two touchdowns.